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My KLSE Market Outlook as close 10 Feb 06

Composite Index  has successfully broke 915 pt level, an important short-term bullish breakout signal.
Fresh lead provided by 2 billion entry into Malaysia capital market spurred more buying interest in the market, widely spread into secondary counter as well. The interest by retail investor is encouraging and alive. I expect this trend to continue well. As the indicator, 930 pt C.I is the main hurdle now. 
 
Just remember that the force of the trend now is more of technical and sentiment rather than what so called fundamental. So far, most financial analysts gave neural outlook. In general most financial analysts just give a better outlook for the second second half of the year - maybe to give time for the economy to unfold.
  
Although the market is expected to take a breather, I think that will be minor.
For this week, trading range is expected between 915-930 pt. Anyway,  I expect the index will make another attempt to break 930 resistance level.
 
Warning signal to watch:  915 point as the main support level. Any correction is expected to rebound at this level. If violated, take that as a short-term bearish signal.

 

click the chart below for a larger view

 

KLSE - support & resistance chart
KLSE - technical indicator chart
KLSE - volume indicator chart (click to enlarge)
KLSE Composite Index Chart (click the image for a larger view, then click the full-screen button for the maximun size)

Sector Relative Strength Comparative to KLSE Composite Index 19 Sept 05

SECTORS RANKED ACCORDING TO THEIR RELATIVE STRENGTH COMPARATIVE (RSC) TO KLSE CI*

                          5-day RSC                                                                       21-day RSC                                                             60-day RSC

Sector 

RSC Value 

 

Sector 

RSC Value 

 

Sector 

RSC Value 

KLSE Mesdaq      18.03 KLSE Plantation        13.81 KLSE Plantation        9.41
KLSE Ind-Product      10.85 KLSE Finance        12.10 KLSE Finance        4.18
KLSE Industrial        3.95 KLSE Mesdaq         2.44 KLSE Composite Index           -  
KLSE Construction        2.60 KLSE Composite Index             -   KLSE Emas Index       (1.05)
KLSE Trad/Serv        0.59 KLSE Ind-Product        (1.53) KLSE Trad/Serv       (3.02)
KLSE Composite Index           -   KLSE Emas Index        (2.37) KLSE Ind-Product       (3.14)
KLSE Emas Index       (0.06) KLSE Trad/Serv        (7.00) KLSE Property       (3.76)
KLSE Finance       (0.75) KLSE Industrial        (7.05) KLSE Mesdaq       (4.83)
KLSE Consumer       (4.51) KLSE Property        (9.07) KLSE Industrial       (4.87)
TECHNOLOGY       (5.44) KLSE 2nd Board Index        (9.99) KLSE 2nd Board Index       (5.20)
KLSE Plantation       (7.64) KLSE Consumer       (18.43) KLSE Consumer       (6.40)
KLSE 2nd Board Index       (7.74) KLSE Construction       (24.53) KLSE Construction     (12.63)
KLSE Mining     (11.64) KLSE Mining       (27.08) TECHNOLOGY     (23.23)
KLSE Property     (13.11) TECHNOLOGY       (28.04) KLSE Mining     (33.65)

 

This is an application of broad market analysis involving the initial comparison of market sectors against the primary broad market index (composite index). KLCI is applied as a benchmark for performance to which all sector indices are then compared. Sector indices that experience more positive movement or less negative movement are said to be outperforming the primary broad market index therefore stronger-than-average sectors.

KLSE - technical indicator chart (click to enlarge)

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